Wednesday, April 12, 2017

Null Hypothesis

Convinced that there is no causal relationship between 2 events?  Firm believer in "innocent until proven guilty"?  That is the Null Hypothesis. 

The Null Hypothesis makes sense when applied... well, sensibly.  While correlation is a necessary prerequisite for causation, correlation does not necessarily indicate causation.

From Wiki: 

For any two correlated events, A and B, the different possible relationships include:
  • A causes B (direct causation);
  • B causes A (reverse causation);
  • A and B are consequences of a common cause, but do not cause each other;
  • A and B both causes C, which is (explicitly or implicitly) conditioned on.;
  • A causes B and B causes A (bidirectional or cyclic causation);
  • A causes C which causes B (indirect causation);
  • There is no connection between A and B; the correlation is a coincidence.
The last bullet item would indicate a Null Hypothesis:  No causal relationship.

Moving along...

'Twas another pit bull mauling in OK a few days ago.  An elderly woman walking her dog was killed by 2 at-large pit bulls.  Her head was nearly removed from her body. 

Of course, those coming to the defense of those dogs, and those like them, insist that the breed background of the mutt perpetrators had nothing to do with it.  Indeed, it was just something that happened.  Like having it rain on your birthday.   The fact that the dogs involved had the capacity to decapitate somebody was merely a coincidence.   Hey, she could had her head cut off by a goldfish, right?

Remember, according to dog worshippers and pit bull fanatics, the facts that pit bulls were bred to fight, and have the overall physical capacity to take down a grown man have nothing to do with any of this carnage.  To them, horrific events of this sort are strictly a coincidence.  Remember, its not pit bulls that kill, or even dogs.  Hell its not even mammals, or anything alive!   The victim in question could have died of anything, and the fact that this death involved game bred fight dogs with a bite strength of an industrial hydraulic press was strictly a coincidence.  The physical capacity and breed history of pit bulls to fight to the death is not implicated in any way, ever.  This is the Null Hypothesis of almost every dog mauling.   

Dog apologists and pit bull fanatics always try to act and sound smart.  I consider most of them to be a "95 IQ genius'" at best.  If you are on a forum and need a retort, try this: "You are abusing the Null Hypothesis".   I dunno if that IS smart, but it sure SOUNDS smart, doesn't it?

Have a great week!


19 comments:

  1. Glad to see you posting again.
    Funny that the "It is all how you raise them" crowd never tells us why so many people would go out of their way to train pits to attack other people and dogs.

    Just like how the blame the deed not the breed types never want to accept any blame for the deed.

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  2. I'm losing another night of sleep, thanks to the idiot neighbors who left their barking dogs outside. The cluelessness of dog owners never ceases to amaze me.

    Be that as it may, I am glad that you are posting again.

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  3. In a pathetic attempt to defend pits and like breeds one nutter informed me that it's normal for dogs to bite and attack. Part of their nature. The simple reply was that by their own standard all dogs were unstable and should be destroyed. The rebuttal was a series of name calling and personal attacks. Oh I am so hurt.

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  4. Per personal experience pit nutters and those with dogs that bark to excess use the reverse bully technique quite effectively. They must become the victim in the scenario as it gives them better standing when called on their dogs and their own crappy behavior.
    Common post on dog sites is the claim that every time their dog barks the evil intolerant dog hating neighbor complains not only to them but AC. They have fines and citations up the wazoo only because the evil intolerant dog hating neighbor called AC. Anyone who has dealt with a yapping mongrel next door knows how hard it is to get AC to do anything no matter how intolerable the situation is. The picked on dog owner solicits pity and justification for their butt hurt. After all their dogs don't bark that much.
    A lot of this is used when defending keeping pit bulls as pets.

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    1. Yup. That's me. The evil intolerant neighbor.

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    2. I have become even more intolerant. Neighbors have been informed we are now videotaping all dog barking coming from their yard day and night. If they continue to refuse to obey our AC ordinances we are suing for harassment. We have years of pre paid legal we have never used. We intend to haul this to district court. WE aren't going to sue for pennies. We have a solid case for harassment. In their eternal ignorance they added yet another mutt to their collection. We intend to have her parents served as they own the property and have refused to intervene and insist she comply with the law. All of this because this farm beast refuses to control her dogs barking at night. GADS

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    3. Eileen: Good for you. Have you sent a formal, certified, cease and desist letter yet?

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    4. Yes. It seems the idea that we are now recording all dog yapping and we have a 10K limit in small claims seems to have finally captured their attention. Since they have a home business I'm guessing having a judgment on their credit report wouldn't be fun either.
      We don't want to be bothered with any of this crap. Balls in their court.

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    5. Here in Tucson, a home business cannot make any noise that goes beyond the property line. So, if they're leaving the dogs​ outside during business hours, their business is creating a nuisance.

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    6. Since being cited for loose dogs and no rabies and no county tags their dogs have been missing from the landscape and since being notified that we will sue, it's not a threat the dogs have been quiet at night with the occasional barking silenced quickly. I have no doubt we will eventually end up in court they don't have the attention span to keep it up.

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    7. Eileen, definitely keep us posted. Your neighbors have the same personality type as mine. That said, you are probably right - they won't keep their dogs under control for very long.

      As in my case, I figure the best case scenario for you is they just move away - save everyone the trouble of litigation.

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  7. I have yapshit terrors on two sides of me, there's nothing worse than living next to a barkomatic. NONE of these people has EVER walked or properly exercised their dog in ANY way or provides any mental stimulation for it whatsoever. Animal Control doesn't give a shit if a dog has any quality of life as long as a dog doesn't have to be euthanized. In a study, a third of people admitted they seldom to NEVER walk their dog. I'm firmly convinced at least 2/3 of the people who have dogs should not.

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  8. To top off my misery some dullard is now dragging his pit bull onto the bus, and of course everyone is scared shitless to say anything because of the ADA.

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